SoCo MonitorConditions as of Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 8:09 AM PT
Today's Weather
Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 5:57 AM PT — Cody's morning report · Source: NWS Area Forecast Discussion
Morning, neighbors!
A low pressure system and cold front are moving through this morning, bringing showers to Sonoma County and the North Bay. Expect a trace to 0.25 inches of rain, with shower activity holding together into mid-morning before ending by Sunday afternoon as sunshine increases. It will be breezy at the coast as the front passes.
The stronger cells offshore have produced isolated thunderstorms, so a little boom boom and flashy flashy is possible over the waters — but thunderstorms are not expected over land here.
Tonight into Monday, winds ease and skies clear. With the recent rain, patchy fog is possible Monday morning. Monday kicks off the work week warmer and drier.
The next round arrives Tuesday and Tuesday night — light rain, with the highest amounts in the North Bay at 0.10–0.30 inches. That's the wettest signal this week for the Russian River and Santa Rosa area.
After that, it dries out Wednesday onward. Temperatures stay seasonal to slightly below seasonal through Thursday, then warm back into the 70s by Friday, with a few low 80s possible inland Saturday.
Also worth noting: hazardous beach conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday along the coast, so use extra care near the water.
Bottom line: wet start today, clearing this afternoon, fog possible Monday morning, light rain Tuesday, then a nice warm-up to finish the week. 🤙
Russian River · Guerneville
Last checked Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 8:09 AM PT · Last updated Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 7:00 AM PT
Well below flood stage — flood stage at Guerneville is 32 ft.
Flood categories at Guerneville: Action 29 ft · Minor flood 32 ft · Moderate 35 ft · Major 40 ft
Sources: NOAA NWPS (observations) · NOAA California-Nevada River Forecast Center (forecast) · Gauge GUEC1
Weather Outlooks
Last checked Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 8:09 AM PT · Last updated Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 12:17 PM PT
NOAA Climate Prediction Center 6–10 day outlooks · More outlooks at CPC
Precipitation Outlook
Chance of above- or below-normal precipitation over the next 6–10 days.
Temperature Outlook
Chance of above- or below-normal temperatures over the next 6–10 days.
Critical NWS Alerts
Last checked Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 8:09 AM PT · Last updated Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 1:13 AM PT
Sources: National Weather Service alerts feed · Sonoma County
Other NWS Alerts
Last checked Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 8:09 AM PT · Last updated Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 1:13 AM PT
Beach Hazards Statement issued November 1 at 1:07AM PDT until November 3 at 8:00PM PST by NWS San Francisco CA
Mon, Nov 2 · 5:00 AM – Tue, Nov 3 · 8:00 PM PT
* WHAT...An increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents.
What: An increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents.
Where: Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore and San Francisco Peninsula Coast Counties.
When: From late Sunday night through Tuesday evening.
Impacts: Waves can sweep across the shoreline without warning, pulling people into the sea from beaches, jetties, and rocks.
Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf and NEVER turn your back on the ocean. Monitor local weather, surf and tide forecasts at www.weather.gov/mtr.
Source: weather.gov
Coastal Flood Advisory issued November 1 at 1:07AM PDT until November 1 at 6:00PM PST by NWS San Francisco CA
Sun, Nov 1 · 1:07 AM – Sun, Nov 1 · 6:00 PM PT
* WHAT...Up to 1.5 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
What: Up to 1.5 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Where: Bayshore locations along the San Francisco Bay, San Pablo Bay, and Monterey Bay.
When: Until 6 PM PDT Sunday.
Impacts: High tides will result in flooding of low-lying infrastructure, isolated road closures, and coastal erosion. Rising tides will bring water and waves farther up the beach than normal, restricting escape from beaches and coastal areas. More substantial impacts are expected along bayshore Marin County where increased flooding is anticipated across low lying areas.
Additional Details: At the San Francisco tidal gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.0 ft above normal (6.8 ft MLLW) on Sunday 11/01 at 3:59 PM. These predictions include up to 1.5 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively.
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Source: weather.gov
Advisories, statements and other notices that don't meet the critical bar
Sources: National Weather Service alerts feed · Sonoma County
Roads & Hazards
Last checked Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 8:09 AM PT · Last updated ---
West County & the Coastal Range · County reports and the Sonoma County road closure map
Seasonal: Vacation Beach Summer Crossing — closed for the season; returns next summer.
Fire Weather & PSPS
Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 7:59 AM PT — Fire Weather Outlook
Risk is low across the North Bay today: cooler and moister with showers and a chance of thunderstorms. PG&E's 7-day outlook lists Sonoma, Lake, and Napa as PSPS Elevated for Fri Oct 23 – Sat Oct 24 (elevated only — no Watch or Warning, and no event declared). The one offshore wind event on the horizon stays up near Redding this weekend.
Power Outages
Last checked Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 8:09 AM PT · Last updated Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 8:09 AM PT
⚡ Occidental — 1 customers out
Started Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 9:46 PM PT · Estimated restore Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 9:00 AM PT
Replce Txfmr · Status: Active
Sources: Cal OES power outage incidents (from PG&E's outage map) · Refreshed every 15 minutes · The map shows all of Sonoma County for reference — notifications cover West County only
Lake Sonoma
Last checked Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 8:09 AM PT · Last updated Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · 5:00 AM PT
Outflow from Warm Springs Dam, the main feeder to the lower Russian River
119 cfs
current outflow
Lake Sonoma storage — Sonoma Water supply graph · Last updated Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · 9:18 AM PT
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