SoCo MonitorConditions as of Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 10:19 AM PT
Today's Weather
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 5:57 AM PT — Cody's morning report · Source: NWS Area Forecast Discussion
Hey folks,
Good news for Halloween plans around Guerneville and the Lower Russian River — the forecast has trended drier for today.
Sonoma County and the North Bay start dry and stay dry well into Saturday afternoon and early evening. A weak front moves in later, so light rain chances increase over the North Bay Saturday night into Sunday, spreading southward as it goes. A few showers may linger early Sunday, then Sunday afternoon looks much drier. This is light rain, not a big storm.
Temperatures stay seasonal to slightly cool through the weekend, with highs mainly in the 60s.
One heads-up to take seriously: a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for minor to moderate coastal flooding at high tide for Bayshore and Pacific Coast locations through the weekend — through this evening for parts of the Pacific Coast, and through 6 PM Sunday for bayshore locations. Low spots near the water could see flooding around high tide.
Looking ahead, Sunday night into Monday turns dry and a little warmer. Rain chances return Monday night into Tuesday and linger into Wednesday — again, nothing big or notable. Dry, warmer weather returns Friday into next weekend.
Bottom line: enjoy outdoor Halloween plans this afternoon and evening, have an umbrella handy late tonight, and watch for high-tide flooding if you're near the coast.
Russian River · Guerneville
Last checked Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 10:19 AM PT · Last updated Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 9:00 AM PT
Well below flood stage — flood stage at Guerneville is 32 ft.
Flood categories at Guerneville: Action 29 ft · Minor flood 32 ft · Moderate 35 ft · Major 40 ft
Sources: NOAA NWPS (observations) · NOAA California-Nevada River Forecast Center (forecast) · Gauge GUEC1
Weather Outlooks
Last checked Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 10:19 AM PT · Last updated Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · 12:01 PM PT
NOAA Climate Prediction Center 6–10 day outlooks · More outlooks at CPC
Precipitation Outlook
Chance of above- or below-normal precipitation over the next 6–10 days.
Temperature Outlook
Chance of above- or below-normal temperatures over the next 6–10 days.
Critical NWS Alerts
Last checked Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 10:19 AM PT · Last updated Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 7:40 AM PT
Sources: National Weather Service alerts feed · Sonoma County
Other NWS Alerts
Last checked Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 10:19 AM PT · Last updated Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 4:48 AM PT
Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 31 at 4:45AM PDT until November 1 at 6:00PM PST by NWS San Francisco CA
Sat, Oct 31 · 4:45 AM – Sun, Nov 1 · 6:00 PM PT
* WHAT...Up to 1.5 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
What: Up to 1.5 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Where: Bayshore locations along the San Francisco Bay, San Pablo Bay, and Monterey Bay.
When: Until 6 PM PDT Sunday.
Impacts: High tides will result in flooding of low-lying infrastructure, isolated road closures, and coastal erosion. Rising tides will bring water and waves farther up the beach than normal, restricting escape from beaches and coastal areas. More substantial impacts are expected along bayshore Marin County where increased flooding is anticipated across low lying areas.
Additional Details: At the San Francisco tidal gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.5 feet above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 03:44 PM on Saturday 10/31 and 1.0 ft above normal (6.8 ft MLLW) on Sunday 11/01 at 3:59 PM. These predictions include up to 1.5 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively.
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Source: weather.gov
Advisories, statements and other notices that don't meet the critical bar
Sources: National Weather Service alerts feed · Sonoma County
Roads & Hazards
Last checked Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 10:19 AM PT · Last updated ---
West County & the Coastal Range · County reports and the Sonoma County road closure map
Seasonal: Vacation Beach Summer Crossing — closed for the season; returns next summer.
Fire Weather & PSPS
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 8:04 AM PT — Fire Weather Outlook
Risk is low across the North Bay today: cooler and moister with showers and a chance of thunderstorms. PG&E's 7-day outlook lists Sonoma, Lake, and Napa as PSPS Elevated for Fri Oct 23 – Sat Oct 24 (elevated only — no Watch or Warning, and no event declared). The one offshore wind event on the horizon stays up near Redding this weekend.
Power Outages
Last checked Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 10:19 AM PT · Last updated Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 10:19 AM PT
⚡ Kenwood — 1 customers out
Started Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 8:05 AM PT · Estimated restore Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 11:15 AM PT
Crew patrolling to find the cause · Status: Active
Sources: Cal OES power outage incidents (from PG&E's outage map) · Refreshed every 15 minutes · The map shows all of Sonoma County for reference — notifications cover West County only
Lake Sonoma
Last checked Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 10:19 AM PT · Last updated Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 6:00 AM PT
Outflow from Warm Springs Dam, the main feeder to the lower Russian River
119 cfs
current outflow
Lake Sonoma storage — Sonoma Water supply graph · Last updated Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · 9:18 AM PT
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