SoCo MonitorConditions as of Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT
Today's Weather
Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 5:57 AM PT — Cody's morning report · Source: NWS Area Forecast Discussion
Morning, neighbors —
Dry and slightly warmer weather holds over Sonoma County and the North Bay through midweek thanks to high pressure parked over the Southwest. We had cirrus streaming over the North Bay overnight, with patchy low clouds and fog possible this morning — patchy dense fog could pop up, so take it easy on the early drive.
Highs today and Tuesday will run a bit above normal — upper 60s at the coast to the 70s and lower 80s inland around Santa Rosa. Overnight lows stay in the 40s and 50s.
Two coastal items to take seriously: Hazardous beach conditions continue through today with breaking waves of 12 to 16 feet, up to 18 feet at favored spots, plus sneaker waves and strong rip currents. Stay off jetties and rocks and never turn your back on the ocean. Coastal flooding from high spring tides is also expected through Friday around bayshore and low coastal spots, peaking late mornings.
Looking ahead, it stays dry into Thursday, then things turn unsettled late week. A front could bring a chance of rain Friday — low confidence for now — with a possibly better chance by Sunday.
Bottom line: Enjoy the dry, mild stretch, keep an eye out for morning fog, and give the surf a wide berth today.
Weather Outlooks
Last checked Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT · Last updated Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 12:01 PM PT
NOAA Climate Prediction Center 6–10 day outlooks · More outlooks at CPC
Precipitation Outlook
Chance of above- or below-normal precipitation over the next 6–10 days.
Temperature Outlook
Chance of above- or below-normal temperatures over the next 6–10 days.
Russian River · Guerneville
Last checked Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT · Last updated Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM PT
Well below flood stage — flood stage at Guerneville is 32 ft.
Flood categories at Guerneville: Action 29 ft · Minor flood 32 ft · Moderate 35 ft · Major 40 ft
Sources: NOAA NWPS (observations) · NOAA California-Nevada River Forecast Center (forecast) · Gauge GUEC1
Austin Creek · Cazadero
Last checked Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT · Last updated Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM PT
Well below flood stage — flood stage on Austin Creek is 21 ft.
Flood categories at Cazadero: Action 18.5 ft · Minor flood 21 ft · Moderate 27 ft · Major 32 ft
Sources: NOAA NWPS · USGS · Gauge AUSC1 (USGS 11467200) · Observation only — no forecast is issued for this creek
Critical NWS Alerts
Last checked Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT · Last updated Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 7:53 PM PT
Beach Hazards Statement issued November 8 at 7:50PM PST until November 9 at 10:00PM PST by NWS San Francisco CA
Sun, Nov 8 · 7:50 PM – Mon, Nov 9 · 10:00 PM PT
* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to 1.6 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, an increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents with breaking waves of 12 to 16 ft expected.
* WHERE...Pacific Coast.
* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until noon PST Tuesday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Monday evening.
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
What: For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to 1.6 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, an increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents with breaking waves of 12 to 16 ft expected.
Where: Pacific Coast.
When: For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until noon PST Tuesday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Monday evening.
Impacts: High tides will result in flooding of low-lying infrastructure, isolated road closures, and coastal erosion. Rising tides will bring water and waves farther up the beach than normal, restricting escape from beaches and coastal areas. Waves can sweep across the shoreline without warning, pulling people into the sea from beaches, jetties, and rocks.
Additional Details: At the San Francisco tide gauge, high tide is expected to be: 1.5 ft above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 10:35 AM Monday 11/9, 1.5 ft above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 11:04 AM Tuesday 11/10. These predictions include up to 1.2 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively.
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf and NEVER turn your back on the ocean. Monitor local weather, surf and tide forecasts at www.weather.gov/mtr.
Source: weather.gov
Sources: National Weather Service alerts feed · Sonoma County
Other NWS Alerts
Last checked Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT · Last updated Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:03 AM PT
Dense Fog Advisory issued November 9 at 8:55AM PST until November 9 at 11:00AM PST by NWS San Francisco CA
Mon, Nov 9 · 8:55 AM – Mon, Nov 9 · 11:00 AM PT
* WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog.
What: Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog.
Where: North Bay Interior Valleys.
When: Until 11 AM PST this morning.
Impacts: Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.
If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
Source: weather.gov
Coastal Flood Advisory issued November 8 at 7:50PM PST until November 13 at 4:00PM PST by NWS San Francisco CA
Sun, Nov 8 · 7:50 PM – Fri, Nov 13 · 4:00 PM PT
* WHAT...Up to 1.6 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
What: Up to 1.6 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Where: Bayshore locations along the San Francisco Bay and San Pablo Bay.
When: Until 4 PM PST Friday.
Impacts: High tides will result in flooding of low-lying infrastructure, isolated road closures, and coastal erosion. Rising tides will bring water and waves farther up the beach than normal, restricting escape from beaches and coastal areas.
Additional Details: At the San Francisco tide gauge, high tide is expected to be: 1.5 ft above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 10:35 AM Monday 11/9, 1.5 ft above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 11:04 AM Tuesday 11/10, 1.4 ft above normal (7.2 ft MLLW) at 11:35 AM Wednesday 11/11, 1.3 ft above normal (7.1 ft MLLW) at 12:10 PM Thursday 11/12, 1.1 ft above normal (6.9 ft MLLW) at 12:49 PM Friday 11/13. These predictions include up to 1.4 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively.
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Source: weather.gov
Advisories, statements and other notices that don't meet the critical bar
Sources: National Weather Service alerts feed · Sonoma County
Roads & Hazards
Last checked Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT · Last updated ---
West County & the Coastal Range · County reports and the Sonoma County road closure map
Seasonal: Vacation Beach Summer Crossing — closed for the season; returns next summer.
Fire Weather & PSPS
Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 7:59 AM PT — Fire Weather Outlook
North Ops calls it little to no risk for significant fire in SoCo, with no organized gusty, dry wind event in the outlook. ERC sits at 27.4, below the 60th percentile with the forecast trending down. No offshore wind event is detected over the next seven days, and PG&E lists no PSPS activity at any tier for Sonoma, Mendocino, Lake, Napa, or Marin through Nov 15. A wetter pattern is expected to build late this week.
Power Outages
Last checked Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT · Last updated Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT
⚡ Cloverdale — 19 customers out
Started Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 8:33 AM PT · Estimated restore Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 4:30 PM PT
Planned shutdown · Status: Active
Sources: Cal OES power outage incidents (from PG&E's outage map) · Refreshed every 15 minutes · The map shows all of Sonoma County for reference — notifications cover West County only
Lake Sonoma
Last checked Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 9:05 AM PT · Last updated Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · 5:00 AM PT
Outflow from Warm Springs Dam, the main feeder to the lower Russian River
117 cfs
current outflow
Lake Sonoma storage — Sonoma Water supply graph · Last updated Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · 8:37 AM PT
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