๐ŸŒง๏ธ SoCo Monitor

Your weather and disaster companion for Sonoma County

Conditions as of Tue, Oct 27, 2026 ยท 12:30 PM PT

PSPS Outlookโœ… No PSPS forecast for Sonoma County through Mon Nov 2 Fire Risk โ€” North Bayโœ… Low today โ€” cooler, moister, showers moving in NWS Watches / Warningsโœ… None in effect for Sonoma County land areas

Today's Weather โ€” Lower Russian River

Tue, Oct 27, 2026 ยท 5:57 AM PT โ€” Cody's morning report ยท Source: NWS Area Forecast Discussion

5-day forecast chart for the Lower Russian River and Guerneville area

Morning, neighbors โ€” hope your coffee's warm, because we're staying on the cool side all week here in the Lower Russian River and across Sonoma County.

Today starts with some patchy morning stratus and a little fog in the North Bay, clearing by late morning into early afternoon. Highs will be in the middle to upper 60s for interior valleys, lower to middle 60s near the bays, and upper 50s to lower 60s along the coast. Gentle to moderate onshore winds pick up this afternoon, with gusts 20 to 30 mph along the coast, through gaps and passes, and up on the ridgelines.

Heads up on the coast: minor coastal flooding is possible at high tide through the week from high astronomical tides. A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect until 5 PM Friday for our coastal zones. Nothing major, but low spots along the shore and Bayshore can see some extra water at high tide.

Looking ahead, troughing keeps us cool through the work week, with highs dipping a bit more later in the week into the middle 50s to middle 60s. Rain chances were in the picture for late week into the Halloween weekend, but confidence has dropped โ€” especially for the Bay Area and North Bay, where chances are now just 10-30% and measurable rain has mostly vanished from the forecast. The trend is leaning drier, with the bulk of any rain staying farther south.

Bottom line: cool, breezy, and mostly dry for Guerneville and Santa Rosa through Halloween. Grab a jacket for those afternoon winds, watch low coastal spots at high tide, and enjoy the fall feel. ๐Ÿค™

Weather Outlooks

Last checked Tue, Oct 27, 2026 ยท 12:30 PM PT โ€” NOAA Climate Prediction Center 6โ€“10 day outlooks ยท More outlooks at CPC

Precipitation Outlook

NOAA CPC 6-10 day precipitation outlook map

Chance of above- or below-normal precipitation over the next 6โ€“10 days.

Temperature Outlook

NOAA CPC 6-10 day temperature outlook map

Chance of above- or below-normal temperatures over the next 6โ€“10 days.

Latest Critical NWS Alerts

Last checked Tue, Oct 27, 2026 ยท 12:30 PM PT

โœ… No active warnings right now. Warnings will appear here as they are issued.

Roads & Hazards

Last checked Tue, Oct 27, 2026 ยท 12:30 PM PT โ€” West County & the Coastal Range ยท County reports and the Sonoma County road closure map

โœ… No road closures or hazards reported right now in West County or along the Coastal Range.

Seasonal: Vacation Beach Summer Crossing โ€” closed for the season; returns next summer.

Fire Weather & PSPS

Mon, Oct 26, 2026 ยท 8:01 AM PT โ€” Fire Weather Outlook

Fire weather dashboard with the North Ops 7-day significant fire potential outlook by region

Risk is low across the North Bay today: cooler and moister with showers and a chance of thunderstorms. PG&E's 7-day outlook lists Sonoma, Lake, and Napa as PSPS Elevated for Fri Oct 23 โ€“ Sat Oct 24 (elevated only โ€” no Watch or Warning, and no event declared). The one offshore wind event on the horizon stays up near Redding this weekend.

Lake Sonoma

Tue, Oct 27, 2026 ยท 6:00 AM PT โ€” Outflow from Warm Springs Dam, the main feeder to the lower Russian River

105 cfs
current outflow

Lake Sonoma outflow chart

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