🌧️ SoCo Monitor

Your weather and disaster companion for Sonoma County

Conditions as of Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · 8:26 AM PT

PSPS Outlook✅ No PSPS forecast for Sonoma County through Wed Nov 4 Fire Risk — North Bay✅ Low today — cooler, moister, showers moving in NWS Watches / Warnings⚠️ Coastal Flood Advisory in effect for Sonoma County

Today's Weather — Lower Russian River

Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · 5:57 AM PT — Cody's morning report · Source: NWS Area Forecast Discussion

5-day forecast chart for the Lower Russian River and Guerneville area

Hey folks,

High clouds hang over the Lower Russian River and Sonoma County today, with a cool, seasonal feel. Morning lows were in the lower to middle 40s inland and upper 40s to lower 50s near the coast. Highs land in the upper 60s to lower 70s inland around Santa Rosa, and lower to middle 60s at the coast. Winds stay light, with a little breeziness this afternoon and evening in the usual spots.

You may see a few blips on radar today — that is mostly virga. A deep layer of very dry air sits overhead, so most of it evaporates before reaching the ground. At most, a sprinkle or a few hundredths on the higher ground — no real rain expected locally.

Heads up at the coast: a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for the Pacific Coast through 5 PM Friday, and for Bayshore locations through Saturday. High astronomical tides plus surge are bringing moderate coastal flooding at high tide — give low-lying shoreline areas extra room around high tide.

Looking ahead, highs stay middle 60s to lower 70s. Rain chances edge in Saturday into Sunday, but the bulk of that system aims south, so the North Bay is mostly on the fringe with light showers possible. Another system may bring rain early to mid next week, but chances are low at 10-30% and timing is still uncertain.

Bottom line: calm and cloudy today, watch high tide at the coast, and don't count on the weekend system for much rain up here.

Weather Outlooks

Last checked Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · 8:26 AM PT — NOAA Climate Prediction Center 6–10 day outlooks · More outlooks at CPC

Precipitation Outlook

NOAA CPC 6-10 day precipitation outlook map

Chance of above- or below-normal precipitation over the next 6–10 days.

Temperature Outlook

NOAA CPC 6-10 day temperature outlook map

Chance of above- or below-normal temperatures over the next 6–10 days.

Latest Critical NWS Alerts

Last checked Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · 8:26 AM PT

✅ No active warnings right now. Warnings will appear here as they are issued.

Other NWS Alerts & Advisories

Last checked Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · 8:26 AM PT — advisories, statements and other notices that don't meet the critical bar

Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 29 at 4:23AM PDT until October 31 at 6:00PM PDT by NWS San Francisco CA

Thu, Oct 29 · 4:23 AM – Sat, Oct 31 · 6:00 PM PT

* WHAT...Up to 1.9 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

Roads & Hazards

Last checked Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · 8:26 AM PT — West County & the Coastal Range · County reports and the Sonoma County road closure map

✅ No road closures or hazards reported right now in West County or along the Coastal Range.

Seasonal: Vacation Beach Summer Crossing — closed for the season; returns next summer.

Fire Weather & PSPS

Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 7:59 AM PT — Fire Weather Outlook

Fire weather dashboard with the North Ops 7-day significant fire potential outlook by region

Risk is low across the North Bay today: cooler and moister with showers and a chance of thunderstorms. PG&E's 7-day outlook lists Sonoma, Lake, and Napa as PSPS Elevated for Fri Oct 23 – Sat Oct 24 (elevated only — no Watch or Warning, and no event declared). The one offshore wind event on the horizon stays up near Redding this weekend.

Lake Sonoma

Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · 6:00 AM PT — Outflow from Warm Springs Dam, the main feeder to the lower Russian River

105 cfs
current outflow

Lake Sonoma outflow chart

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