🌧️ SoCo Monitor

Your weather and disaster companion for Sonoma County

Conditions as of Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 8:31 AM PT

PSPS Outlook✅ No PSPS forecast for Sonoma County through Tue Nov 3 Fire Risk — North Bay✅ Low today — cooler, moister, showers moving in NWS Watches / Warnings⚠️ Coastal Flood Advisory in effect for Sonoma County

Today's Weather — Lower Russian River

Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 5:57 AM PT — Cody's morning report · Source: NWS Area Forecast Discussion

5-day forecast chart for the Lower Russian River and Guerneville area

Morning, neighbors

Cool and dry is the story for the Lower Russian River and Sonoma County today. Morning lows are in the upper 30s to middle 40s in the inland valleys, with highs staying a touch below seasonal — upper 60s to lower 70s inland around Santa Rosa, and upper 50s to lower 60s at the immediate coast. Expect some morning stratus and high clouds sticking around into the evening, with light winds and a gentle onshore push later today. Gusts could reach about 20 mph along favored coastal spots and through gaps and passes.

Heads up at the coast: high astronomical tides plus surge are bringing minor to moderate coastal flooding at high tide for Pacific Coast and Bayshore locations through the week. A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through Saturday for parts of the North Bay coast — give low-lying shoreline spots some room at high tide.

Looking ahead, troughing keeps us cool and a bit gloomy into Friday, with highs in the middle 60s to lower 70s inland. Halloween weekend rain chances stay low, around 10 to 30%, and most of the North Bay looks to stay dry — even the reasonable worst case is only around a tenth of an inch here. Rain chances return early to mid next week, but timing is genuinely uncertain right now as models wrestle with a cut-off low in the Pacific.

Bottom line: a calm, cool fall day locally — watch high tide at the coast, and keep an eye on that fuzzy rain signal for next week.

Weather Outlooks

Last checked Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 8:31 AM PT — NOAA Climate Prediction Center 6–10 day outlooks · More outlooks at CPC

Precipitation Outlook

NOAA CPC 6-10 day precipitation outlook map

Chance of above- or below-normal precipitation over the next 6–10 days.

Temperature Outlook

NOAA CPC 6-10 day temperature outlook map

Chance of above- or below-normal temperatures over the next 6–10 days.

Latest Critical NWS Alerts

Last checked Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 8:31 AM PT

✅ No active warnings right now. Warnings will appear here as they are issued.

Other NWS Alerts & Advisories

Last checked Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 8:31 AM PT — advisories, statements and other notices that don't meet the critical bar

Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 28 at 12:20AM PDT until October 31 at 6:00PM PDT by NWS San Francisco CA

Wed, Oct 28 · 12:20 AM – Sat, Oct 31 · 6:00 PM PT

* WHAT...Up to 1.9 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

Roads & Hazards

Last checked Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 8:31 AM PT — West County & the Coastal Range · County reports and the Sonoma County road closure map

✅ No road closures or hazards reported right now in West County or along the Coastal Range.

Seasonal: Vacation Beach Summer Crossing — closed for the season; returns next summer.

Fire Weather & PSPS

Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 7:59 AM PT — Fire Weather Outlook

Fire weather dashboard with the North Ops 7-day significant fire potential outlook by region

Risk is low across the North Bay today: cooler and moister with showers and a chance of thunderstorms. PG&E's 7-day outlook lists Sonoma, Lake, and Napa as PSPS Elevated for Fri Oct 23 – Sat Oct 24 (elevated only — no Watch or Warning, and no event declared). The one offshore wind event on the horizon stays up near Redding this weekend.

Lake Sonoma

Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 6:00 AM PT — Outflow from Warm Springs Dam, the main feeder to the lower Russian River

105 cfs
current outflow

Lake Sonoma outflow chart

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